Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Review Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction 

by PHILIP E. TETLOCK & DAN GARDNER

Description

Hailed by New York Times as Editors’ Choice, certified by Washington Post as Bestseller, labeled by Hudson Booksellers as Best Business Interest Book of 2015, and gold medal awardee of the Axiom Business Book Award in Business Theory – Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction are no less than a super book!

Investors, traders, financial experts, analysts, and people outside the financial industry will certainly benefit from reading this book as it explains the science behind predictions and making ones. Tetlock, together with Gardner, takes us to the world of predicting and foresight and how the successful and failed stories behind them. The book will give its readers the opportunity to develop their knack in making more accurate predictions by following the systematic process of gathering evidence from different sources, probabilities, and a whole lot more. 

About the Authors

Philip Tetlock is a faculty member at the Anneberg University of Pennsylvania and is an affiliate consultant at the Wharton School of Business. He is leading a multi-year forecasting study called “Good Judgment Project. He wrote several books, including Expert Political Judgment.

Dan Gardner is a known journalist and is also a writer of several financial books.

Table of Contents

The book contains the following contents:

  1. An Optimistic Skeptic
  2. Illusions of Knowledge
  3. Keeping Score
  4. Superforecasters
  5. Supersmart?
  6. Superquants?
  7. Supernewsjunkies?
  8. Perpetual Beta
  9. Superteams
  10. The Leader’s Dilemma
  11. Are They Really So Super?
  12. What’s Next?

Epilogue

An Invitation

Appendix: Ten Commandments for Aspiring Superforecasters

Acknowledgments

Notes

Index